ralovett takes out carreh when Michigan State edges Duke in a thriller.
behansen, dudeman, and hatfield hang on to the top spot, but ralovett closes to within 10 points and is the only one of the four whose championship pick is still alive.
Now the random odds are:
ralovett 50% (wins outright if Michigan State beats Texas Tech in the semis)
hatfield 50% (finishes on top if Texas Tech beats Michigan State. Wins outright if Virginia beats Auburn in the other semi, otherwise ties behansen and dudeman)
behansen 25% (ties dudeman and hatfield if Texas Tech beats Michigan State and Auburn beats Virginia)
dudeman 25% (ties behansen and hatfield if Texas Tech beats Michigan State and Auburn beats Virginia)
So there's a 25% chance of a three-way tie. Ordinarily a tie would be broken using the score in the finals, but that seems anti-climatic. In the event of a tie, how about a 3-point shooting contest, and to increase the running component: most 3-pointers in 10 minutes, only 1 ball per person, attempts are on alternating ends of the court, and held outside with no backstop other than the backboard? ;-)